Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2025 - Spain
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
6.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Loss vs Borja Apellaniz Aparicio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs José Castillo Rabazo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Win vs David Amorín García (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.