National Championship 2025 - Spain - Kayo, Armed and Dangerous (CC)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ismael Ruiz Fernandez

36th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Josep Tarrida (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Iván Gómez Segovia (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Victor Ruiz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62

80:20

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Diana Toboso (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.06
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.40
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.24
R11	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.72

Sergio Sanz Guerrero

28th • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ferran Riu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Rivas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Albert Serrano Gomez (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sergio Nieto Becerra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.19
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

MARC JOSÉ VENTURA

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Labiano Serrano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alberto Ferrero González (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs David Roldán Nogal (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R10	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.33	1.46

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.