Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Labiano Serrano

32nd • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs MARC JOSÉ VENTURA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adrián Marín (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Diana Toboso (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Cristian Codes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.43
R11	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.19
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Daniel Folch

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alejandro Gurrea (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.21
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50

Juan Antonio Sanchez Arbos

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Carlos Pío Reyes (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Nieto Becerra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Borja Apellaniz Aparicio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.43
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50

Adrián Marín

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pol Pérez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Labiano Serrano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

José Castillo Rabazo

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Ruiz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Preciado Espitia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50

Ferran Riu

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Víctor Tejera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.