National Championship 2025 - Spain - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC) - FaB-Results

Kano, Dracai of Aether

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Preciado Espitia

15th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

6.7

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs José Castillo Rabazo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs David Amorín García (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Rafael Durán (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sergio Nieto Becerra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.90
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.91
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.08

23rd • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

3.0

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15

Dorinthea Ironsong

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Pol Pérez Ribera (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Ismael Ruiz Fernandez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Alexander Labiano Serrano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.11
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.28
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.61

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

2.5

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

Prism, Awakener of Sol

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.