Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2025 - Spain

Fang, Dracai of Blades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 2: Loss vs David Roldán Nogal (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 12: Loss vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.