National Championship 2025 - Spain - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pablo Pintor

5th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

4.3

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Víctor Tejera (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Correas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jose Antonio Del Hoyo Cuenda (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Juan Lucas Sánchez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

30:70

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Juan Lucas Sánchez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.86
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.71	3.03
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Rodrigo Peinado

24th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.8

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sergio Nieto Becerra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Borja Apellaniz Aparicio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.66
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.58	2.49

Guillem Las Heras

19th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.3

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Pantoja Sánchez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafa Guallar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs MARC JOSÉ VENTURA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Alejandro Garcia Lliso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Pol Pérez Ribera (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Alejandro Abad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.42
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.42
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Sergio Bravo Aranda

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Santiago Gullón Escobar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Manuel Martin-Fernandez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.76

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.