Katsu, the Wanderer at National Championship 2025 - Spain
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
37th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafa Guallar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Miw Valle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jorge Vila Tomás (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Loss vs Victor Ruiz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Amorín García (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.