Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Niklas Bengtsson

1st • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

5.1

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Persson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Fredrik Maxe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nic Palm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.09
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.39
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.93
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.13

Markus Jonsson

18th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 77:23

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Fredrik Maxe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lewis Day (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Alex Moynagh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.13
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.99
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.67
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Mikael Vedemar

22nd • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jesper Lindström (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Elias Ahlström (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Max Harudd Segerstein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.84
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.17

Andrej Erdelsky

36th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Bergström (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Elias Ahlström (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jarrett Yu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.15

Thomas Sandén

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johnny Vretlind (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrej Erdelsky (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.47
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.60

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.