Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025 - Sweden
Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Martin Andreasson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.