FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong at National Championship 2025 - Sweden

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rickard Ekermann
21st • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Bryant (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christofer Lindholm (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Stefan Persson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Davide Quaglio
17th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
Dash I/O
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Ålund (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Andreasson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.