National Championship 2025 - Sweden - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Paul Petersson-Rebelo

11th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Bryant (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nicklas Holm (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs John Bergström (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.45
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.84
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.91

Klas Bergholtz

29th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.2

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lewis Day (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 85:15

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jordy Pereira (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Fredrik Maxe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.10
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.08
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.82
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.81	3.24
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

lilli Mack

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesper Lindström (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emilia Mattsson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Moynagh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.