Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Magnusson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lewis Day (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.