Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2025 - Sweden
Fang, Dracai of Blades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs lilli Mack (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Round 9: Win vs Markus Jonsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.