Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Moynagh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrej Erdelsky (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nic Palm (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
5th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
27th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordy Pereira (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Andreasson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Magnusson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs John Bergström (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mikael Vedemar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
33rd • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Harudd Segerstein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonardo Baranzano (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Sandén (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Round 9: Loss vs Péter Kökény (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
35th • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Halvars (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lewis Day (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Oscar Ålund (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jan Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.