Vynnset, Iron Maiden
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
5.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felipe Rita (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs LUCAS DE CASTRO (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Vinicius Knop (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Round 10: Win vs Victor Matsumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 12: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
37th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roberto Mautone Junior (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Renan Albertino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Guilherme Favoreto Borges (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fábio Barbosa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs Rogelio Passafaro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rafael Fabris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Cao Mafra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs José Roberto Oliveira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Loss vs Leonardo Tozato (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gianlucca Carapunarla (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuri Pires (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Airon Luis Pereira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cao Mafra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Ricardo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Vinicius Vidal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Lemos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fabiano Shigueyoshi Shimada Watanabe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafael Fabris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Buccos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raimen Lopes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Luz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roberto Mautone Junior (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Silvério Oliveira (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs João Marcelo Vieira Ramos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Luiz Bretas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paulo Cezar da Silva Rebelo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs José Moreira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pedro Vecchi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raimen Lopes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Assis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Artur Campos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Heitor Martins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vinicius Souza (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Barros (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Joly (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thalles Buso (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Miranda (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs João Foltran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian Zambelli Tello (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Luiz (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elias Luiz de Oliveira Neto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Tocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Traverso (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nestor Mendoza (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
Round 2: Win vs Raphael Almeida (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fabricio Talmas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Flávio Castro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Moscatelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diogo Santana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jhony Oliveira (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs laerte cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Joly (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs André Cavalcanti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Ramírez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Castanheira (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.