Dash I/O at Calling: São Paulo 2025
Dash I/O
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Luz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Murilo Ronsoni (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felipe Lobo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Che Rocha (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs LUCAS DE CASTRO (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Feliz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Felipe Rita (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
18th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matheus Alcantara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Lavorato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateus Batista (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Jefferson Simões (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Renan Albertino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Carvalho Quintino Ferreira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Lavorato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Guilherme Favoreto Borges (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mario Rivera (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Franco Nascimento (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Akira Hangai (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Daniel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Ricardo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Caroline Flamia (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jefferson Simões (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arthur Rocha (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eliseu Moreno (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Antônio Humberto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs JOAO PEDRO Guimaraes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rogelio Passafaro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caio Bal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Mauricio Souto Silveira (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Federico bouzon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 11:89
Round 7: Win vs Antônio Humberto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 10% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Tocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gianlucca Carapunarla (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Ferreira (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Buccos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Joly (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Raphael Almeida (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Marcos Vinicius Rezende Silva (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Gomes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bruno Assis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fábio Barbosa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Gomes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gian Moreira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuri Sacchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Fabiano Shigueyoshi Shimada Watanabe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jefferson Simões (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sandro Ferreira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Codato (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matheus Nunes Lino da Silva (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Everton Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henrique Pereira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Rocha (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Marin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Antônio Humberto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geraldo Amorim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Parra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Federico bouzon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 11:89
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs João Pereira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcel Moscatelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Joao Morato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 11:89
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Foltran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 11:89
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Veloso Sitis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs GUILHERME JACQUES (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gian Moreira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felipe Lobo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Marin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Eugenio F. dos Santos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Rodriguez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Assis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Federico bouzon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 11:89
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs igor pinheiro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Eugenio F. dos Santos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eliseu Moreno (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paulo Amora (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs victor giovannini (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Gentil (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.