Nuu, Alluring Desire at Calling: São Paulo 2025
Nuu, Alluring Desire
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Eduardo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Miranda (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elias Luiz de Oliveira Neto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Win vs Victor Matsumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Chițu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 10: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
38th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eduardo Lima (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Caroline Flamia (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JULIO LOBO (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mateus Batista (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Che Rocha (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
44th • 5-7-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antônio Humberto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fábio Barbosa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Iasmin Dias (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Fernandes Andrade (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rafael De Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Singh Bruno (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Victor Matsumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Flávio Castro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Round 11: Loss vs Diego Souza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (5.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
80%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vagner Guerra (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Breno Santos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuri Nascimento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 7: Win vs Vinicius Knop (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Leonardo Tozato (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs José Roberto Oliveira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Matsumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Miguel Ardovino (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Veloso Sitis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Loss vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Draw |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs José Moreira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuri Pires (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony de Oliveira Voltz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Gabarron (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Draw |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Feliz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Tocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mario Rivera (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hedio Siebra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jefferson Simões (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcel Moscatelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Rodriguez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thiago Lomba (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Murta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Ricardo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Federico bouzon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 80% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-2
100%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Barreto Filho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Brandao (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Nestor Mendoza (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Ramírez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Clovis Panta (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 6: Loss vs igor pinheiro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Draw |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Draw |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Augusto Belo Silva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Augusto Pinho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sandro Ferreira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Federico bouzon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs João Marcelo Vieira Ramos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Rafael Fabris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
83%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Caliman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs André Lim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs lucas barbosa (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antônio Humberto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Mateus Barros (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gui Landgraf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guilherme Favoreto Borges (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcel Moscatelli (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Luz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vitor Hugo Yugulis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Fanti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Davi Belo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-2
100%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Leonardo Paixão Viana (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Isabella Bregensk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Chew (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gui Landgraf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-2
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Mathias Medina (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vinicius Vidal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Bruno Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Singh Bruno (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gui Landgraf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs JULIO LOBO (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sidrack Augusto Correia Junior (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leonardo Coelho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ricardo Torres (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Matsumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Peiter Batschauer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.