Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Calling: São Paulo 2025

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

lucas barbosa

dropped • 4-2-1

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Cunha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josué Santos (Unknown)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Carlos Ramírez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Santos (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs André Cavalcanti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Yuri Nascimento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.85
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Lucas Fanti

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gui Landgraf (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomás Penchel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rodrigo Canejo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Flávio Castro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs JULIO LOBO (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.33
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.28
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Pedro Henrique Antonio

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eduardo Lima (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.50
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.60
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.