Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-4-0
71%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Akio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Justino (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuri Pires (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maykon Silva (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs João Foltran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Caroline Flamia (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Feliz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Carlos Eduardo Amaral da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (10/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
28th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs André Lim (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Airon Luis Pereira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs NICOLAS DE GOIS VIEIRA RODRIGUES (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Leonardo Lavorato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Fanti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gustavo Peiter Batschauer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Vinicius Knop (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
31st • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tales de Mesquita Simioni (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matheus Maciel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hedio Siebra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Fanti (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Tocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Felipe Rita (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs William Barreto Filho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mario Rivera (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vinicius Vidal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs LUCAS DE CASTRO (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rogelio Passafaro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Matsumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Breno Santos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Valdenegro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Davi Belo (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs laerte cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Che Rocha (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bernardo Coelho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Che Rocha (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Steven Hurtado (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs João Pereira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joao Morato (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pedro Caliman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Vitor Negri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Gabarron (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Feliz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Celso Alves Lima Neto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diego Pereira (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fernando Caprino (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Rogelio Passafaro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Caio Bal (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs NICOLAS DE GOIS VIEIRA RODRIGUES (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-1
57%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabricio Talmas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Marcelo Vieira Ramos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs lucas gomes pacheco (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Brandao (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charles Eduardo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mateus Barros (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Iasmin Dias (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Sobral (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Renan Albertino (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Akio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fábio Barbosa (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fábio Antunes Gomes Pitta Pinheiro (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Maykon Silva (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Airon Luis Pereira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felipe Possamai (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felipe Rita (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leonardo Lavorato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bruno Santos (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guilherme Brito silva (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Akira Hangai (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Murilo Ronsoni (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.