Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: São Paulo 2025

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lucas Navarro

33rd • 7-5-0

25%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

5.7

Surp

5.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Charles Eduardo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bruno Akio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Fabiano Shigueyoshi Shimada Watanabe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Gustavo Peiter Batschauer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs José Roberto Oliveira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

25% (3/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.15
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.37
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.92
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.06
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.77
R10	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R11	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Rogelio Passafaro

39th • 7-5-0

17%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Silvério Oliveira (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs laerte cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Caroline Flamia (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

17% (2/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.11
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.19
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.85
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.02
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.68
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R9	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Bruno Ferreira

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs JOAO PEDRO Guimaraes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Phelipe da Hora (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roberto Cardoso (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs João Marin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.91
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Diego Pereira

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vinicius Souza (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yuri Nascimento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.88
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.