Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: São Paulo 2025
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charles Eduardo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Bruno Akio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Danilo Maeda dos Santos (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gui Cohen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Win vs Fabiano Shigueyoshi Shimada Watanabe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Gustavo Peiter Batschauer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs José Roberto Oliveira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 12:88
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
39th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 12:88
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 78:22
Round 5: Win vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Silvério Oliveira (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs laerte cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Caroline Flamia (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JOAO PEDRO Guimaraes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phelipe da Hora (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roberto Cardoso (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs João Marin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs MATHEUS TEIXEIRA OTRE (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 12:88
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vinicius Souza (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuri Nascimento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.