Jarl Vetreiði
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Assis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Guilherme Perego (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luis Felipe Bueno da Silva (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Darcy Camargo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 8: Win vs Marcelo Gazzaneo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
5:95
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Feliz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Round 11: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Perilla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuri Nascimento (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bruno Akio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Santos (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 6: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs André Rafael Chagas Godoy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Renan Pamplona (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Brandao (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Kevin Parra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs John Steven Hurtado (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.