Calling: São Paulo 2025 - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Fabricio Talmas

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Parra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rodolfo Xavier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hedio Siebra (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Iasmin Dias (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mario Cioffi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.04
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Diogo Santana

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs JOAO PEDRO Guimaraes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Vagner Guerra

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Augusto Pinho (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs LUCAS HENRIQUE MIRANDA MENDES (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Torres (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.