Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Calling: São Paulo 2025
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Knop (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Haniel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roberto Cardoso (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maria Fernanda Correia Martins Corrêa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Daniel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs victor giovannini (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diorge Brognara (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Augusto Belo Silva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Valdenegro (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sandro Ferreira (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs GUILHERME JACQUES (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Buccos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs LUCAS HENRIQUE MIRANDA MENDES (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thalles Buso (Dash I/O) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Artur Campos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuri Sacchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Leonardo Lavorato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guilherme Perego (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matheus Alcantara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Rocha (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gianlucca Carapunarla (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Iasmin Dias (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Buccos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arthur Murta (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs laerte cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CAIO ZAMBELLI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Buccos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gustavo Peiter Batschauer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.