Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tayler Allen (Unknown)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Claire Stanfield (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elena Arnold (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
17th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Kutyba (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Walker Roberts (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Martinez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 96:4
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyle Tamayo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 95% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
18th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ross Fontana (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs josh hunt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
100:0
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
Round 6: Win vs Shawn Walker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
19th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Will Matthews (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Phillips (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Lowrey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Arnell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
25th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Bristol (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew DiGregorio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Rogers (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
30th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Aguirre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elena Arnold (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Castille (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Rogers (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Phillips (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
39th • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Claire Stanfield (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs josh hunt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Rogers (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Bristol (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Jeremie Maurina (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Draw |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kalvin Kutyba (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hemal Patel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Jacobs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
95:5
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 96:4
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 95% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Lancaster (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Badillo (Unknown)
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Colin Lapenotiere (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 96:4
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 95% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liam Bristol (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 73:27
Round 2: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jun Russel Ibanez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.