FaB-Results

Jarl Vetreiði at Battle Hardened Houston: 2024

Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joel Grizzelle
41st • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Arnell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Ramsey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66
Viserai, Rune Blood
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leo Loera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 43:57
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 4:96
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 4:96
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Liam Bristol (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Colin Lapenotiere
dropped • 2-1-2
20%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs John Colvin (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashton Lynch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Alexander Bernal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liam Bristol (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Walker Roberts (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 4:96

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.