Nuu, Alluring Desire at Battle Hardened Houston: 2024
Nuu, Alluring Desire
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Castille (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Will Matthews (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colton Branch (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Donovan Wilcox (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs JD Daclison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
37th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 86:14
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sam Jacobs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremie Maurina (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordan Agudelo (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Sagor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Rogers (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leo Loera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dustin Douglass (Unknown)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ty Hicks (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Badillo (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Tamayo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashton Lynch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Francisco Zuniga (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Colin Lapenotiere (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs William Warnek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michelle Wheatley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Alexander Gomez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Lapenotiere (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Kutyba (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Bernal (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.