Ira, Scarlet Revenger
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Agudelo (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Simon Murphy (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dustin Douglass (Unknown)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Aguirre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
31st • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Rivera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Jacobs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gavin Siegrist (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alberto Reyes (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Agudelo (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Francisco Zuniga (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tayler Allen (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew DiGregorio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Terrazas-Haywod (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Phillips (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Arnell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JD Daclison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Lowrey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Sagor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Walker Roberts (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kalvin Kutyba (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Aguirre (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Warnek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Booher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.