Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened Houston: 2024

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Niels Kornerup

11th • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Booher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jude Vergara (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zak Cargin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.73
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.76
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.21
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Tyler Zeringue

dropped • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jude Vergara (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francisco Zuniga (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose Garcia (Unknown)

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Victor Alexander Gomez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joshua Terrazas-Haywod (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 77:23

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.25
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.38

Emmitt Luna

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Richards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs josh hunt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 63:37

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.07
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.