Battle Hardened Houston: 2024 - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Niels Kornerup

11th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Booher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jude Vergara (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zak Cargin (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chase Osborne (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.50
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.84
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R7	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Tyler Zeringue

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jude Vergara (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francisco Zuniga (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jose Garcia (Unknown)

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Victor Alexander Gomez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joshua Terrazas-Haywod (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.54
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.22
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Emmitt Luna

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Richards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs josh hunt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Johnathan Esquivel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.06
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.