Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened Houston: 2024
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Rogers (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs John Colvin (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Lancaster (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Claire Stanfield (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Richards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.