FaB-Results

Arakni, Huntsman at Battle Hardened Houston: 2024

Arakni, Huntsman

Arakni, Huntsman

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonathan Garretson
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Richards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Tim Lee (Unknown)
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Unknown)
Brandon Lenshyn
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremie Maurina (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Garretson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Nuu, Alluring Desire
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Kutyba (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.