Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
64th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.8
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jack Raven (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nick Gabler (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Barding (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
70th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.4
Diff
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Rodger (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paulo Fernandes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
48th • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Peter Ward (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
Round 1: Win vs Reeve Chia (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Filipchuk (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Win vs Steven Caraher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
81st • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Round 12: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Elrod (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Christian Hauck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
145th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
114th • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Cody Williams (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nathan Dollman (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eli Brawerman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs nathan lapham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Jessen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Collins Mullen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ciro Gambone (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Bonde (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe DeCaussin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chad Bortz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fred Bird (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Freeman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carter Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Wolohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam (Real) Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Feick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Shaffer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Colon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nik Dinnis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Redington (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Kandziolka (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Hong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chad Burden (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonardo Pessôa (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Keeler (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Chiechi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zach Reinschreiber (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.