Uzuri, Switchblade at Pro Tour: Baltimore

Uzuri, Switchblade

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Giorgio

13th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Noah Cagle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Christian Hauck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 54:46

15:85

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83

30:70

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 32:68

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joel Repta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.63
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R11	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.44
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.32
R13	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R14	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Taotao Chu

dropped • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casey Walker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Hand (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.57
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.50
R11	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.39
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Devin Rattenni

dropped • 1-2-1

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 54:46

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 58:42

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Draw	✗	0.17	-
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Carter Barton

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Erick Lofton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs George Rodger (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.64

Colin Swisher

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 54:46

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.