Pro Tour: Baltimore - Uzuri, Switchblade (CC)

Uzuri, Switchblade

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Giorgio

13th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Noah Cagle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Christian Hauck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 22:78

30:70

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 32:68

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 22:78

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joel Repta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.55
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R11	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.41
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.06
R13	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R14	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Taotao Chu

dropped • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 61:39

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 32:68

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Corey Waugh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casey Walker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Hand (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.50
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.38
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.40
R11	CC	Lexi, Livewire	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.11
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Devin Rattenni

dropped • 1-2-1

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Draw	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Carter Barton

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Erick Lofton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs George Rodger (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.64

Colin Swisher

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.