Bravo, Showstopper at Pro Tour: Baltimore
Bravo, Showstopper
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
49th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Cody Williams (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 14: Win vs Fred Bird (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Reinschreiber (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Thourgood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Win vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
82nd • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Dalton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Caronchia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michel Corvino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Kandziolka (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
96th • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.3
Diff
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 14: Win vs Zachary Adams (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam (Real) Yuen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Dave Lin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
100th • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Caronchia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Round 14: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nik Katebian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Kern (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
127th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.2
Diff
Round 11: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joshua Koslosky (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs randy lavoie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pheano Black (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
37th • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Noah Cagle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 1: Win vs Ian Smith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Williams (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
105th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Calvin Holt (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
148th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Bonde (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carl Boyle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R14 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
119th • 2-6-0
38%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joe DeCaussin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Joseph Santianna (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Collett (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ted Nilsson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Swisher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
0%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Bridges (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Hand (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Simmons (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Casey Walker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carter Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Mikael Teittinen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edward Kim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rylie Groff (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs BRENT ANDERSON (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Ausdemore (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Filipchuk (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Myers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Viet Pham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Jeremy Langevin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ryan moran (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Milam (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Draw |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pheano Black (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs JUSTIN FRYAR (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Womack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Santianna (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Shaheen Soorani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Koslosky (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Franche Tan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Bonde (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fernando Caprino (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Majin Bae (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Viet Pham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chad Bortz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Gump (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.