Viserai, Rune Blood at Pro Tour: Baltimore
Viserai, Rune Blood
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
7.5
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Nick Gabler (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Evan Dyck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Round 14: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 1: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs valentin mackl (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 26:74
Round 4: Win vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
7.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
107th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
6.0
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Mikael Teittinen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Drew Bosco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Round 14: Win vs Craig Krempels (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tanner Propst (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Allen Lau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Vore (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 26:74
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Calvin Holt (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Jack Stoney (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philippe Paquin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Loss vs Garrett Pieratt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Williamson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clark Jansen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nik Dinnis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Smith (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Pham (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafaelo "Ruffy" Sarmiento (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Smith (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davide Abis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pascal Weiler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.