Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Pro Tour: Baltimore
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
111th • 7-1-0
25%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
7.1
Diff
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michel Corvino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
Round 13: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Julian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Floris van Asch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
7.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
35th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeffrey White (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Adam Matecki (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
130th • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs valentin mackl (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Adam Filipchuk (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Michael Walker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Scalco (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carl Boyle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Biing Chyn "Benson" Lai (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
142nd • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs James Kandziolka (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Stephan Schwarz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Kim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 22:78
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rylie Groff (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierre-Olivier Vallerand Beaudry (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elijah Calub (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Williams (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Elrod (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Calvin Holt (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.