Briar, Warden of Thorns
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damien Riggins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dagan White (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Dunn (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
52nd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
5.4
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dagan White (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Rob Catton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Round 14: Win vs Yongji Yang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Caronchia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Bridges (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
137th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.7
Diff
Round 11: Win vs Nik Katebian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Rodger (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
36th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Baker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Thomas (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.9
Diff
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pheano Black (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 1: Loss vs James Chang (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 13: Loss vs steve clarke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Koslosky (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aliasgar Dedanwala (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gui Cohen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Wolohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Chang (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Adams (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 73:27
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Barding (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nik Dinnis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Adams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chad Bortz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Yang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Olivier Vallerand Beaudry (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erick Lofton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zach Reinschreiber (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs JP Coleman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Nik Katebian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Anthony Bugoci (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nam Vo (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Jessen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devin Rattenni (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Womack (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Repta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Tan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Scalco (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Trebing (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Perez (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Loss vs steve clarke (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Wyatt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Long (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.