Katsu, the Wanderer at Pro Tour: Baltimore
Katsu, the Wanderer
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
91st • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs randy lavoie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Anthony Pham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs nathan lapham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Olivier Vallerand Beaudry (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeffrey White (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
62nd • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.5
Diff
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Calvin Holt (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
83rd • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Mark Morrison (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Travis McDaniel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 1: Win vs Nick Butcher (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Vore (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Feick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
110th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
6.0
Diff
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Elly Bird (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Vore (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
71st • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Koslosky (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
79th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Clark Jansen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Joe Colon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eli Brawerman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Benton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
122nd • 3-5-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
Round 14: Loss vs Austin Redington (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Tan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Seth Penner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 11: Loss vs randy lavoie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-0-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yongji Yang (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clark Jansen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip Parker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Bonde (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Olivier Vallerand Beaudry (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Shaheen Soorani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Long (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Seth Penner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Mound (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Davila (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ektor Angelomatis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Floris van Asch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Ciro Gambone (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JUSTIN FRYAR (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Trebing (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip Parker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Filipchuk (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Propst (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor 🇵🇭 Mercado (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeromy Tsai (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Alex Keeler (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ektor Angelomatis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Greg Mitchell (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs valentin mackl (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Casey Walker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.