Calling Antwerp 2023 - Lexi, Livewire (CC)

Lexi, Livewire

133 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gabe Sher

3rd • 12-3-0

53%

Meta

+4.6

Perf

7.1

Surp

6.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wim Haeck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Prull (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hadrien Legallet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jamie Faulkner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

53% (8/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

7.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.07
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.14
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.09
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.52
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.60
R9	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.63
R10	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R11	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R12	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.72
R13	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.97
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.91
R15	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

George Melissakis

3rd • 12-3-0

53%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

6.9

Surp

5.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Walter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bart Horré (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rafał Szymaszek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lucas Nijssen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Chang Li (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Olli Saarinen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

53% (8/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

6.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.07
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.20
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.37
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.47
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.67
R10	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.48
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.90
R13	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.97
R14	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.37
R15	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Glenn Van Roey

5th • 10-4-0

57%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

6.7

Surp

4.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Stäger (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

57% (8/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.03
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.29
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.59
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R11	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.88
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R13	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R14	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Natan Tomeo

45th • 9-3-1

77%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

6.9

Surp

4.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Slobodan Bacic (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tobias Lind (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Mathieu Gomez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Draw vs Florian Koksch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Michal Cwik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.08
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.16
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.24
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.30
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.65
R9	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.05
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.04
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05

24th • 9-4-0

92%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

5.9

Surp

4.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joeri De Groote (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Jelle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Luigi Fontana (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs David Calf (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.05
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.24
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.25
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.49
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.27
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.51
R10	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.81
R11	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Tobias Lind

30th • 9-4-0

85%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michal Faldyna (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Olli Saarinen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Florian Koksch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs David Calf (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs José Guimarães (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.08
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.15
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.09
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R9	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.41
R10	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.62
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jimmy Nguyen

34th • 9-4-0

85%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

6.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marc Wilhelms (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robin Seichais (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Łukasz Mirek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alex Cortés (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Oliver Braun (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Chang Li (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.49
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.57
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.41
R10	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.81
R11	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R13	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.56

James Thourgood

35th • 9-4-0

77%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.9

Surp

4.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henrik Korkuc (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chang Li (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Peytavy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joel Rencen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.04
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.28
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.60
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.65
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.51
R10	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.45
R11	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R13	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

José Guimarães

37th • 9-4-0

92%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Claes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Braun (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tudor Serban (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nicolas Scandalis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Tobias Lind (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.05
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.20
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.53
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.65
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.39
R10	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nica Roth

41st • 9-4-0

69%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shahin Ghorbani azad (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ciaran Harrigan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Steven De Canck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Silvestri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Maciej Janik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Bartosz Kosmacz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

69% (9/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.35
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.28
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.23
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.69
R9	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.62
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Krister Lindroos

44th • 9-4-0

85%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Martin Bergström (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Küenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Antoine Pech (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Davide Abis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Adam Matecki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Savinien Castel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kristof Andric (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.12
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.42
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.29
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.49
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.33
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.45
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.68
R10	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.68
R13	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.40

Charly Bizard

59th • 8-3-2

62%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Jascha Werth (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Henrik Korkuc (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Pawlak (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michal Faldyna (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Antonio Tagliareni (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Fred Bird (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Mikko Airaksinen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Draw vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

62% (8/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Draw	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.32
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.32
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.27
R9	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R11	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.50
R12	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.57
R13	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-

Hubert Pszczółkowski

47th • 8-5-0

77%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Claire Lannaud (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Natalia Berger (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Sossenheimer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Łukasz Mirek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Oliver Braun (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.42
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.35
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.49
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.65
R9	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.57
R11	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R12	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bartosz Kosmacz

50th • 8-5-0

77%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

6.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Ormstrup (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Awend Dozky (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matteo Favretto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nathan Hills (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Nica Roth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.11
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.16
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.11
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.53
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.69
R9	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.69
R10	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.81
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40

51st • 8-5-0

85%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Billy van Zaal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Théo Marmisse (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kristof Andric (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.14
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.49
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.45
R9	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.63
R10	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.34
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matthias Hittel

56th • 8-5-0

85%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

6.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Philipp Schlegel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthias Sanchez (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matúš Martinko (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Viet Pham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bob De jong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs José Guimarães (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.08
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.09
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.52
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.36
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R10	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Stefan Karlsson

60th • 8-5-0

77%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

6.6

Surp

4.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Charly Bizard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Arran Lawrenson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Declan Patrick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.17
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.15
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.16
R12	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.97
R13	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Hrvoje Hedžet

62nd • 8-5-0

77%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

6.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pedro C. Silva (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Eric Steuer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Florian Koksch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Oliver Braun (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.10
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.35
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.28
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.45
R9	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Marijn Lybaert

74th • 7-6-0

77%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

5.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Guionaud (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emilis Dirmeikis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Kosmacz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Florian Koksch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (7.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.03
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.14
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.28
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Antoine Trannoy

77th • 7-6-0

77%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

6.9

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fabio Brambilla (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nam Khoa Nguyen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arthur Nijssen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christian Franco (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Fedir Kokhan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christian Hauck (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.08
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.18
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.32
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.60
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.69
R9	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R13	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

Florian Koksch

dropped • 6-4-2

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

5.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bertrand Guillot (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filip Grozdanovic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tobias Lind (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Antoine Pech (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Enrico José Zürcher (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Draw vs Natan Tomeo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Antonio Tagliareni (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Draw vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.06
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.44
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.38
R9	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R12	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Philip van Donselaar

dropped • 6-4-0

90%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Florian Kirsch (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robin Voigt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Franco (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Goran Lovric (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mateusz Drabent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tess van Dartel (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.06
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.18
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.26
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.09
R9	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christian Weißling

dropped • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Krister Lindroos (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs George Melissakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bartosz Kosmacz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.23
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.31
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R9	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christoph Jablonowski

dropped • 5-2-1

88%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Calf (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Philipp Kresse (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.14
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.16
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.47
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Andrew Rayner

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Reich (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjy Heyda (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Franco (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Laurent LECOMTE (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mark Warren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Matecki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Carlos Carrero

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Frederic Fuessmann (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Philipp Kresse (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.21
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Christian Franco

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eva Wollny (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Adler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Antoine Trannoy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Marco Guignard (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.08
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Fred Bird

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christoph Stich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mathieu Gomez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Cortés (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Charly Bizard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.07
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.49
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.43

George Jones

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gaetan Koeckx (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.16
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lorenzo Silvestri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.64
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.43

Jose Alves

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Remco van Gijn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gavin Caldwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maxime Dumas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Rob Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.28
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.32
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Kamil Kirstein

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Davy Vanden Broeck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Peter Markovič (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dean Ebelshäuser (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Maxime Dumas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.03
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Lautaro Kadar

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Peter-John Wilkinson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Flavien Duquesne (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tudor Serban (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Fabio Stüber (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Albert Schütt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.47
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Marco Lettieri

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Guillaume Gérard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lukáš Barborik (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tudor Serban (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Damien Pladys (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christian Uffelmann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.10
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.46
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Mark Johnson

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julen Olazcuaga (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Walter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jan Eid (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.30
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.38
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Markus Lingslebe

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sven Tscheppainz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Damien Pladys (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bram bertens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.29
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.64
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Matthew Foulkes

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dennis Ryms (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.47
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Matthew McInnis

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Schmid (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rafael Boog (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Alessandro Tassini (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.15
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.46
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

Michaele Teppa

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Martin Fortuin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chang Li (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

85:15

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hadrien Legallet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

85:15

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matteo Favretto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.07
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.28

Mário Abrantes

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brecht D'hondt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adrian Hamm (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tess van Dartel (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Carlos Carrero (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Alain Franco

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Natalia Berger (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Julian Boelen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luca Pellegrino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Guillaume MICHEL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.38
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Paul Dollé

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Silvestri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Richard Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tudor Serban (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.08
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.27
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Rhyan Bromell

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs René De Zutter (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robin Voigt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Sioli (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christoph Jablonowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adrián Marín (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Dan Stoian (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.09
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.15
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.22
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Robin Seichais

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Peytavy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ivan Tiozzo Pagio (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Clément CASTAGLIOLA (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.07
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Sebastiaan Knetsch

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Clément CASTAGLIOLA (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Philipp Schlegel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.08
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.28
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.65
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Simon Klein

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Klaus Poulsen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Diogo Vala (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs jurgen schepens (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Matthias Niedertscheider (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.29
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Stevie Van Overtveldt

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christoph Thuneke (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jan Sysmans (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tobias Lind (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.07
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.15
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.16
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.49
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Sven Pavlek

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Richard Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Karol Napieraj (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kristian Scheibe (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yannick Bakker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mark Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.10
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Sven Tscheppainz

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Corbyn (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Markus Vierkotten (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Markus Lingslebe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs John Kitsos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.29
R5	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.41
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.57
R8	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Viet Pham

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Richard Frost (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Italo Molina (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.38
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Vincent Weinzierl

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Pilven (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rafal Tarnowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Simon Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tudor Serban (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.08
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Łukasz Mirek

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jani Laatunen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michał Szubski (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Claudio Paradiso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Italo Molina (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.07
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.15
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Alberto Di Blasi

dropped • 4-3-1

62%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tony Colonna-Cesari (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Antonio Tagliareni (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arlerand Ngan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yegor Borshch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jan Eid (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.08
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.29
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.85
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Mark Henderson

dropped • 4-3-1

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dimi Van Edom (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Olivier Fraiture (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Stijn Ginneberge (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sven Pavlek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.24
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.27
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Adrián Marín

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raymond Su (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Adler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Krister Lindroos (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Martin Andreasson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jan Eid (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.17
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Aleksander Zabłocki

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Saarela (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Annetta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Merijn Poorthuis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.09
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Enrique Boada

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cyril Bolly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Bertram (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kevin Sossenheimer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.09
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.56
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Eric Steuer

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robin Jonel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nolwenn Le guer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthias Sanchez (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Cohen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs David Calf (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.14
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.29
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.35
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Giovanni Korsten

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Guillaume Gérard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs jurgen schepens (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.44
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.66
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Hanno Guellicher

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christoph Jablonowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Kuric (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Max Schmidt (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs John Kitsos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Floris van Asch (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs jurgen schepens (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mateusz Drabent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.22
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.37
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.38
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jordi De Jonghe

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pedro Faria (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dan Stoian (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Vretman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.23
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Kevin Faut

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Filip Grozdanovic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Pihour (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Aidan Wall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Quentin Potin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.14
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.32
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Kevin Pennec

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Khalid Abatouy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thibaut Clausse (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Michel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Frank Buechy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.07
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.29
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.27
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.37

Lorenzo Miele

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Adams (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Paul Dollé (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Adler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tobias Lind (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.05
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Matthias Niedertscheider

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Josef Doležal (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Becker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Kuric (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Scherer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs James Adams (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Simon Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.05
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.34
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.47
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rafal Tarnowski

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexandre Guionaud (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thomas Peytavy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Ipakchian (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.11
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.25
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Steven De Canck

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Albert GUYO (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michał Szubski (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mikael Kullström (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nica Roth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.22
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Thorbjørn Lind Jensen

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Steve Andrew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Clément CASTAGLIOLA (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Italo Molina (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

May Made

dropped • 3-4-1

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Luckey (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Claire Lannaud (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Draw vs Toni Savolainen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jani Laatunen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs James Brookes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.47
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.52
R8	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Tomas Liutvinas

dropped • 3-4-1

62%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Theo Maggs (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Antonio Tacchella (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christian Poffet (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yannick Bakker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Luigi Fontana (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.32
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Alexandre Vretman

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Poffet (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Valentino Odorjan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Mendes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jordi De Jonghe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Björn Debremaeker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.05
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.15
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Błażej Gierszon

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Albert GUYO (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Laurence Boyle (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Darian Papke (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Laura Sterkenburg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.79
R8	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Matthias Verbeeck

dropped • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Leonard Kaarls (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Viet Pham (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yong Jin Jang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Bertram (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.17
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.90

Patryk Wasielewski

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Alain Franco (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hugo Jobe (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adrian Hamm (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.14
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.86
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Steve Andrew

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joeri De Groote (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Domagalski (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steven De Canck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jan Sysmans (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.22
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Thomas Chevrinais

dropped • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Antonio Tacchella (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maximilien Berger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Flavien Duquesne (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.37
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Vincent PROUM

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kenni Pedersen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Van Ballaert (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gavin Caldwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Alain Franco (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Warren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kurt Vooys (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.68
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Kevin Claes

dropped • 2-6-0

88%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patryk "Kaladin" Kruczkowski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs José Guimarães (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthias Zeiziger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adrian Hamm (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rokas Jaskevičius (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Felix N (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Mitch Malavolta

dropped • 2-6-0

62%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Henrik Thomsen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thierry Entringer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Colin Ragas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Ben Teirlinck (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Matthias Zeiziger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.85
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.98
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Albert Schütt

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Laurent LECOMTE (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Goran Lovric (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chang Li (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Robin Seichais (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lautaro Kadar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.20
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.12
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexander Tsohohey

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs René Rost (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

85:15

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.27
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.24
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

David Chirulescu

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hadrien Legallet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Sossenheimer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Pablo Tobías (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.12
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.12
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

David Wallner

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gerrit Kurpanek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.09
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.54
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.90
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Lerens

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nolwenn Le guer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maximilien Berger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Can Gani Cevik (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mathieu Gomez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.09
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.25
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.96
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Nolwenn Le guer

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Lerens (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Steuer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Liam Canning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Wim Eliano

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Peytavy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Melvin Lemke (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Anthony Achin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Rotter (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christoph Thuneke (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.59
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.16
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.98
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.53
R7	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Oscar Richichi

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Altieri (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Merijn Poorthuis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Kosmacz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Warren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Andreas Ventzel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.42
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Damien Petit

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michał Szubski (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs James Brookes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gregory Graumer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maximilien Berger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Alexander Prull

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tess van Dartel (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Melvin Lemke (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kamil Gwiazda (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.61
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Arran Lawrenson

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christian Poffet (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joachim Hendriksen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.14
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjamin Van donkelaar

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs rogier De wever (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joe Potter (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christoph Thuneke (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.49
R6	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Brent Van de Staey

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johann Schwarze (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mitch Malavolta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Albrecht Constantin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ivan Tiozzo Pagio (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.52
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bruno Annetta

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Davide Abis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rafał Szymaszek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.10
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Jacob Walter

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs George Melissakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher YOUNES (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arnold Baars (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tuomas Lampinen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.45
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.75
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Julius Jonauskas

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Theo Maggs (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mikael Kullström (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Stefan Stäger (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.37

Laurence Boyle

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chang Li (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Błażej Gierszon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Johann Schwarze (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bence Vereszki (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Martin Fortuin

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Petar Peric (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joachim Hendriksen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs rogier De wever (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sander Wojcik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Mauro Annetta

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Vernyns (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Corbyn (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adam Matecki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.49
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Nathan Corbyn

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fabio Stüber (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Silvestri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.38
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.49
R6	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Scott "HowlingMines" Mines

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Remi Gazquez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Filip Grozdanovic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sven Pavlek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Steven Vanbecelaere

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrei Bucurel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs José Guimarães (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.10
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Peter Stürmer

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Phil Kohnen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Matteo Favretto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sander Wojcik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.10
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Draw	✓	0.83	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Diogo Vala

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yannick Machiels (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pascal Weiler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Molinari (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.37
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.60
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Javier Querol

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Saussey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Albert GUYO (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ewout De Leeuw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.56

Kamil Rejman

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nica Roth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brian Cornillie (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marc Schmid (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Matúš Martinko

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Damien Pladys (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Frank Buechy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.14
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Matěj Stejskal

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christoph van Wershofen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Julia Happel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Warren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Rene [Puk] Hentschel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.61
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Melvin Lemke

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wim Eliano (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Prull (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cristian-Andrei Cioban (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Thomas Peytavy

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wim Eliano (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robin Seichais (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Quentin Potin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs adrien ferlisi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rafal Tarnowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.47
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gregory Graumer

dropped • 1-4-1

83%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Antonio Tacchella (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Kuhrt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ewout De Leeuw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Damien Petit (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.47
R6	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Toni Schwarze

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ion Dhont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.06
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

András 'Kaptain' Kovács

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Michel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Niklas Astner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Adler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.09
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.42
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjy Heyda

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Hamm (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christoph Thuneke (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.20
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Kevin Wiercx

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josef Doležal (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yegor Borshch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Samed Demir (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Saarela (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Kristian Čurla

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pascal Weiler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Guy Duparcq (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Feick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.23
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Martin Andreasson

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tony Colonna-Cesari (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Colin Ragas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.35
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mikael Kullström

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samed Demir (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Tobías (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michal Faldyna (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julius Jonauskas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Steven De Canck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Phil Kohnen

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Stürmer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jani Laatunen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.15
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.47
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Sebastian Feick

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.24
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.56

Tim Heibrok

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Markus Tusche (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nica Roth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.20
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Alex Martinez de

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Awend Dozky (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Schlegel (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Khalid Abatouy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Reich (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.45
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Gaetan Koeckx

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Tan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Raymond Su (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jani Laatunen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.24
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Jan Ripa

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas G Jud (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bence Vereszki (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Frank Buechy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Robin Jonel

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs damien herlin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.34
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Sascha Scheibel

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 76:24

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Bertram (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dan Stoian (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.08
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Isaac Murray

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Vretman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fedir Kokhan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Osama MacDonald

dropped • 1-2-1

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ciaran Harrigan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Draw	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Matthew Tuck

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Braun (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ana Ristov (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Moritz Hoffmanns

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs rogier De wever (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Ruben Costers

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Sommer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Melvin van Gijn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.59

Sebastian Sommer

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Stich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ruben Costers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-

Peter Markovič

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nam Khoa Nguyen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marco Guignard (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Kirstein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.