Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling Antwerp 2023
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
6.8
Surp
5.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jan Eid (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Bun (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Mathieu Gomez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Bob De jong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bartosz Kosmacz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tudor Serban (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christel David (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Collett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Javier Querol (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yegor Borshch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mark Warren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 79:21
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Küenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Wim Haeck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pablo Tobías (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Zeiziger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rokas Jaskevičius (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emil Haulund Kjeldsen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Marcel Harz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jack Fanning (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bertrand Guillot (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Fauth (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thorsten Drescher (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 8: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Bertram (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leonard Kaarls (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 79:21
Round 4: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexandre Vretman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Willem Van Hout (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenni Pedersen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nolwenn Le guer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Claes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kristof Andric (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 79:21
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Van Ballaert (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jack Fanning (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs André Cardoso (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs simon haesaerts (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 79:21
Round 4: Loss vs Alessandro Tassini (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Lerens (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Osama MacDonald (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josef Doležal (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nica Roth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Cornillie (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 79:21
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Favretto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yannick Machiels (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Scherer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clément CASTAGLIOLA (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Gwiazda (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Valentino Odorjan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arran Lawrenson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Fortuin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fabio Brambilla (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Schröder (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bob De jong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Tagliareni (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sven Pavlek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.