Calling Antwerp 2023 - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Benjamin Van Ballaert

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Markus Vierkotten (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Florin Mazilu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patryk "Kaladin" Kruczkowski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bob De jong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Enrico José Zürcher (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Briar, Warden of Thorns	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Luca Barcella

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Melvin Lemke (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs rogier De wever (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Tobías (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Filip Grozdanovic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ivan Tiozzo Pagio (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.50
R3	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.57
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Alexandre Fourrier

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kogul Kathiravelu (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 73:27

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hadrien Legallet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.18
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.68
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.