Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling Antwerp 2023
Katsu, the Wanderer
40 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
32nd • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.4
Surp
5.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Théo Marmisse (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rafal Tarnowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Cuellari (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Merijn Poorthuis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Van Ballaert (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Krister Lindroos (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
36th • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Matecki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Scandalis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Melissakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steve Andrew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
39th • 9-4-0
31%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
7.2
Surp
5.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giovanni Korsten (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjy Heyda (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Win vs Donovan van Beek (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Charly Bizard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
7.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
63rd • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antoine Trannoy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hrvoje Hedžet (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Bizau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nica Roth (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Krister Lindroos (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Calf (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
71st • 7-6-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christoph Jablonowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jas Tin Lim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Steuer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hadrien Legallet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tobias Lind (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
76th • 7-6-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Floris van Asch (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pascal Weiler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arran Lawrenson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Julia Happel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Enrico José Zürcher (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andreas Ventzel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Round 13: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tanguy Raguénès (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mauro Annetta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Krister Lindroos (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Collett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jordi De Jonghe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs René Schep (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Loss vs Geoffrey Donneger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joachim Hendriksen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Pilven (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Tydecks (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arran Lawrenson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Niklas Astner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Becker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hoho Li (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bart Horré (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Robin Seichais (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matúš Martinko (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dean Flanagan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Davy Vanden Broeck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs adrien ferlisi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Markus Lingslebe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arran Lawrenson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jascha Werth (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matěj Stejskal (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Therssen Hugo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Olivier Fraiture (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andy Polderman (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Quentin Potin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jay Donaldson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pascal Weiler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Cortés (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Loss vs VALENTIN MARIGNAC (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Kitsos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Boog (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Fanning (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florin Mazilu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Cohen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Tisell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Stoian (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Melissakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Niels Vos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Fedir Kokhan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Faria (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Stoian (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Wall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexandre Vretman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natalia Berger (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs damien herlin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Remi Gazquez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ewout De Leeuw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rokas Jaskevičius (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tanguy Raguénès (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs René De Zutter (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erik Baalhuis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Slobodan Bacic (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christel David (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liam Canning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Adams (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexej Frikel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luca Pellegrino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Slobodan Bacic (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
Round 8: Loss vs Jerome Jambert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-7-0
88%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Ragas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Björn Debremaeker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pedro Faria (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Brusius (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thierry Entringer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Küenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Fourrier (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Pilven (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs monnier jason (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Ben Teirlinck (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Niels Vos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phil Kohnen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordi De Jonghe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Schmid (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lautaro Kadar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan Bolam (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alessandro Tassini (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Guionaud (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Toni Schwarze (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Sysmans (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Andreasson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Bergström (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakow Koutsun (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joe Potter (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ruben Costers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michel Radosevic (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fred Bird (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilien Berger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Adams (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Prull (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dimi Van Edom (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marie-Louise Gerntrup (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matěj Stejskal (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Wall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pedro C. Silva (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikael Kullström (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Slobodan Bacic (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laurence Boyle (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Wiercx (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matěj Stejskal (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lars Richter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Markus Vierkotten (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter-John Wilkinson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Cohen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Cortés (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oleg Zabalujev (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Toni Schwarze (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Wall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jay Donaldson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Remi Gazquez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Therssen Hugo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Italo Molina (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Bergström (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enrique Boada (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs simon haesaerts (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Martin Fortuin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Kitsos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darian Papke (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.