Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling Antwerp 2023
Fai, Rising Rebellion
22 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
52nd • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emilis Dirmeikis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tuomas Lampinen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Lehmann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Natalia Berger (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Tepper (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs José Guimarães (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michal Cwik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
54th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oskar "Jowe" Halamus (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henri Schlüter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs nino Zimmermann (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Adler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Olli Saarinen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Antonio Tagliareni (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Guillaume MICHEL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Carrero (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lori Vanderhulst (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs David Kuric (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mikko Airaksinen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ruben Costers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patryk "Kaladin" Kruczkowski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Win vs Bruno Mendes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Antoine Trannoy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre Canali (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sander Neeft (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Sioli (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Javier Querol (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Guillaume MICHEL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vincent Fasquel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Julian Boelen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Niels Vos (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bob De jong (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Degrandis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Remco van Gijn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Willem Van Hout (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Damien Pladys (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raymond Su (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Corbyn (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ricardo Nguyen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Kamil Gwiazda (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dean Ebelshäuser (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ciaran Harrigan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Ragas (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Geoffrey Donneger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ana Ristov (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christian Uffelmann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michał Szubski (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Faut (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs Fabio Brambilla (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Brusius (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Theo Maggs (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joe Potter (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-7-0
50%
Meta
-2.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Pihour (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthias Zeiziger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ewout De Leeuw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Geoffrey Donneger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Gerrit Kurpanek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Sioli (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rob Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Cuellari (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Bun (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julian Boelen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Derda (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Saillour (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Altieri (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Küenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Claes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Bram bertens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Brookes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Samed Demir (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theo Maggs (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charly Bizard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Reich (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felix N (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Loss vs Sander Wojcik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs simon haesaerts (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Logan Bolam (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Billy van Zaal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shahin Ghorbani azad (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Laura Sterkenburg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Tiozzo Pagio (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs monnier jason (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damien Pladys (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Peytavy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julia Happel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Christoph van Wershofen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Philipp Kresse (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs René Rost (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.