Briar, Warden of Thorns at Calling Antwerp 2023
Briar, Warden of Thorns
37 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 9-3-1
69%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
7.1
Surp
5.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Pihour (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Phil Kohnen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Huepper (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Savinien Castel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Richard Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
7.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Draw |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
38th • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fedir Kokhan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs José Guimarães (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tobias Lind (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Julia Happel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Antonio Tagliareni (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
42nd • 9-4-0
54%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.8
Surp
5.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Annetta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Cornillie (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Mark Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sander Wojcik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Win vs Antoine Trannoy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mateusz Jasiński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
68th • 8-5-0
77%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marco Guignard (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antoine Pech (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Chițu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Patrick Jud (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs David Calf (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Charly Bizard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michal Cwik (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Karol Napieraj (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rob Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexej Frikel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristian Scheibe (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 71:29
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tobias Reincke (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Van Ballaert (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Federico Sirri (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Bun (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Benjy Heyda (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Wim Eliano (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stijn Audenaert (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas De Wolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michał Szubski (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Teirlinck (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs René Schep (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nuno Amaral (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tess van Dartel (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Billy van Zaal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frederic Bernard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Hittel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Piotr Chudobinski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Ipakchian (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gaetan Koeckx (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hugo Jobe (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julien Risser (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Karol Napieraj (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jani Laatunen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Scherer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Gwiazda (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc Wilhelms (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Lerens (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Chevrinais (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Koos Van den Berg (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Win vs Damien Petit (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Łukasz Mirek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven De Canck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Win vs Damien Petit (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ana Ristov (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Quentin Potin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukáš Barborik (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aurélien Burck (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Wilhelms (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Samuel Pihour (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrien Saussey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cayle Mccreath (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Cohen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs rogier De wever (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Scherer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arlerand Ngan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aubin Jean (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sander Wojcik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Giovanni Korsten (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Voigt (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs René De Zutter (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rokas Jaskevičius (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Remco van Gijn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ion Dhont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Laurence Boyle (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Tassini (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Sioli (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Calf (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Łukasz Mirek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Geoffrey Donneger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Frank Buechy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phil Kohnen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Win vs Gaetan Koeckx (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Tan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs May Made (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Seichais (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Prull (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henrik Korkuc (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mauro Annetta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Davide Abis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Therssen Hugo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Toni Savolainen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gerrit Kurpanek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Simon Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Donneger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Corbyn (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Bertram (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Milani (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Feick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Win vs Gregory Graumer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Björn Debremaeker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ewout De Leeuw (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matteo Favretto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Harz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Molinari (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luis Toeffels (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yves Meienberg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chang Li (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs damien herlin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tadhg Treacy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Awend Dozky (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christel David (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bart Horré (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Radosevic (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Lehmann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yannick Bakker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jurgen schepens (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Dean Ebelshäuser (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Loss vs Aubin Jean (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Petar Peric (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sven Tscheppainz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Brusius (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Antoine Pech (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Jan Eid (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Stürmer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cyril Bolly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Markus Lingslebe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Brookes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Florin Mazilu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bart Horré (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ruben Costers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.