Bravo, Showstopper
35 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 10-3-0
23%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
7.0
Surp
6.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stijn Ginneberge (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Braun (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Enrique Boada (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 GDPR-DEL-10/23/24-09:25:01 (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul Dollé (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 11: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 13: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
23% (3/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
15th • 10-3-0
38%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.4
Surp
6.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Feick (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luca Barcella (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kamil Kirstein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Round 10: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Chang Li (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 13: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
43rd • 9-4-0
31%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
6.3
Surp
5.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Drabent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Sioli (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christel David (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henri Schlüter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs damien herlin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mark Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 9: Win vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Calf (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Round 13: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
53rd • 8-5-0
31%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.6
Surp
4.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Olli Saarinen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Matecki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Osama MacDonald (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Tony Colonna-Cesari (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lautaro Kadar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Round 10: Win vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
64th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs João Gomes (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cédric Florent (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Albert Schütt (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Przemyslaw Staniszewski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joseph White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Savinien Castel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
78th • 6-7-0
38%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
6.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gheorghe Catalin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Becker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexandre Vretman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Annetta (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Guillaume MICHEL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Richard Carr (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Laurin Niehues (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Antoine Trannoy (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Scherer (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jan Ripa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Laurence Boyle (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Adler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luca Pellegrino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Jas Tin Lim (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Can Gani Cevik (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Adams (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gavin Caldwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs monnier jason (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Jelle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Win vs Bart Horré (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tomasz Domagalski (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs adrien ferlisi (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davide Abis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Derda (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emil Haulund Kjeldsen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jascha Werth (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sven Pavlek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fred Bird (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Sanchez (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jerome Jambert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robin Seichais (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc Schmid (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Sossenheimer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ronja Kieffer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dean Ebelshäuser (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Niklas Astner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-1
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marie-Louise Gerntrup (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas De Wolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Olivier HENRY (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Enrique Boada (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Arthur Trehet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Draw |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yves Meienberg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emilis Dirmeikis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Jentzsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Błażej Gierszon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adrian Hamm (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
62%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Flavien Duquesne (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Fauth (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leonard Kaarls (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Julien Risser (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Felix N (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Loss vs Jasper de Riet (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sascha Scheibel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Enrique Boada (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs James Brookes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
12%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florin Mazilu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Rancic (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas De Wolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Claes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Fuad Omar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enrique Boada (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcel Harz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fedir Kokhan (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hugo Jobe (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Faut (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Linn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Walter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Michel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Henrik Thomsen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arnold Baars (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Gehringer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marie-Louise Gerntrup (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Søren Madsen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Junjie Juan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Frederic Bernard (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mathieu Gomez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikey Dwyer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Max Löhe (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diogo Vala (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yong Jin Jang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julius Jonauskas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Simon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jurgen schepens (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Bucurel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Frost (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Arlerand Ngan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Franco (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthias Niedertscheider (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Drabent (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gerrit Kurpanek (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lautaro Kadar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs damien herlin (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Meunier (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mark Tan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Rotter (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter-John Wilkinson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Paitz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Therssen Hugo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christel David (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Matecki (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emil Haulund Kjeldsen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darian Papke (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Walter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hadrien Legallet (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Damien Pladys (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Jerome Jambert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Bucurel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thibaut Clausse (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kristian Čurla (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas BROSSE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diogo Vala (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafal Tarnowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Björn Debremaeker (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Draw |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Walter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Guignard (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.