Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling Antwerp 2023
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-3-0
50%
Meta
+4.5
Perf
6.6
Surp
6.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Tess van Dartel (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Lind (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
Round 12: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs George Melissakis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (7/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
55th • 8-5-0
85%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Denil (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patryk "Kaladin" Kruczkowski (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Cortés (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Balint Herendi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Oliver Braun (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Krister Lindroos (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cédric Florent (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Grefling (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Win vs Alwart Nijveld (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Luckey (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Tomasz Pawlak (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
14%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthias Niedertscheider (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Wiercx (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ciaran Harrigan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dimi Van Edom (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tomasz Pawlak (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henri Schlüter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brecht D'hondt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Win vs Aurélien Burck (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dimi Van Edom (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raymond Su (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Davy Vanden Broeck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafal Tarnowski (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Vretman (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sascha Scheibel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Uffelmann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Albrecht Constantin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.