Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling Antwerp 2023

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vasilis Kirlis

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Fanning (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Canaki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Ziegler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 24:76

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Damien Pladys (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christel David (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Nicolas Ziegler

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Saarela (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Richard Frost (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Michel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Klaus Poulsen

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 24:76

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stijn Audenaert (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.