Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling Antwerp 2023

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vasilis Kirlis

dropped • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Fanning (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Canaki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Ziegler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Damien Pladys (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christel David (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.11
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.18
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Nicolas Ziegler

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Saarela (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Richard Frost (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Michel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Klaus Poulsen

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Klein (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 29:71

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stijn Audenaert (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.