Iyslander, Stormbind
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Griffin Murray (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grant Grisham (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Phillips (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Win vs Casey Dugan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Round 10: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Klein (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Bunn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Corcoran (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Thao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Casey Walker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Covarrubias (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Shaffer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Payne Ummerteskee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Barnes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Robinson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rodrigo Martinez (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Phillips (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steve Gilland (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Casey Walker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Barnes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kalon Stephens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Van Zuiden (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ashton Lynch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Dunbar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Sacriste (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Baxley (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Hernandez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Greg Hanson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Boudreaux (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Connor Butler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Geramy Forshee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Talon Bradshaw (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tony Stobbe (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Chwaliszewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dillon Anderson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Frank Sangoy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Van Zuiden (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Perez (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Phillips (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austen Stolte (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Aguirre (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Griffin Murray (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Stoney (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Dave Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Loss vs Dmitry Sorokin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Joel Covarrubias (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Ramsey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ty Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Nelson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs tyler kent (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max Mosier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Herrick (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Butler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Sones (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Elkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.