Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro at Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Chwaliszewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Corcoran (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Braden Wooldridge (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dustin Douglass (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stewart Mcgirt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Hughes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henry Robichaux (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Denton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Nixon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Pearson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lindsey Thiele (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Murray (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kirk Huber (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Santianna (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Beam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Koutsos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 21:79
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Ellis (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs JD Daclison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Salazar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kate Kish (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 53:47
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tony Cooley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keenan Lonell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Chwaliszewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Deitz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.