Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023
Dorinthea Ironsong
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
58th • 6-6-0
33%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Guinn (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jarron Idleman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Samuels (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Maddux Warren (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Richards (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Long Dao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zach Bunn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryan Wright (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Mender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kirk Huber (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austen Stolte (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Cole (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Lancaster (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Aucoin Jr (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Parker Brown (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ashton Lynch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Sneed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Tran (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Curry (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hailey Abbott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Christ (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs carolina alvarado (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Chwaliszewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Hankins (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Jacob Bader (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 78:22
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dillon Anderson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Draw |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Samuels (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Conway (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Dunbar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darren Buono (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.