Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023
Fai, Rising Rebellion
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 9-2-1
50%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Phillips (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Van Zuiden (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daeton Harris (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Barnes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 12: Win vs Randall Sims (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Draw |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
29th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.6
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jose Garcia (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Koutsos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Trevino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Alex Hernandez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Boudreaux (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
42nd • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erick Boeder (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Dirksen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Koutsos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Phillips (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyle Thiele (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Elly Bird (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Porter (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tony Cooley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ovas Siddiqui (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Skylar Surguy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Hughes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Marvin Dominguez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Williams (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Elly Bird (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Yarbrough (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Nelson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Sacriste (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Conway (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Tran (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Bell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dmitry Sorokin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zoey (Zuppy) Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Greg Hanson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Trevino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Hughes (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Barnes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Mangles (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Salazar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Sones (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Grisham (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Simpson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jayson Jacks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Christ (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs tyler kent (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Murray (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Win vs Mike DeNicola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Garretson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Umar Babar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Corcoran (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Warnek (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Salvatore Calderone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Hankins (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Griffin Murray (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Devin Jackson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Lindsey Thiele (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Cole (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zoey (Zuppy) Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Cole (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs tyler kent (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Mangles (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Herrick (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Hughes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jedi Abaja (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ty Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Sacriste (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hailey Abbott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Perez (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.